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广东省人民政府首页  >  要闻动态  >  广东要闻

发力存款扩内需,行业增长新动能

来源: 南方日报网络版     时间: 2019年08月26日 02:03:21
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(原)(标)(题)(:【华)(泰)(金)(融)(中)(期)(策)(略)(】银)(行)(:发)(力)(存)(款)(扩)(内)(需)(,行)(业)(增)(长)(新)(动)(能)(
研)(究)(员)(:沈)(娟)((S0570514040002)、郭)(其)(伟)((S0570517110002)
宽)(货)(币)(紧)(信)(用)(破)(局)(,看)(好)(大)(型)(银)(行)(和)(零)(售)(银)(行)(
年)(初)(以)(来)(银)(行)(同)(业)(负)(债)(成)(本)(下)(降)(,资)(产)(端)(价)(格)(提)(升)(,为)(息)(差)(扩)(大)(创)(造)(条)(件)(。但)(是)(我)(们)(认)(为)(宽)(货)(币)(紧)(信)(用)(实)(质)(反)(映)(了)(资)(金)(价)(格)(传)(导)(机)(制)(不)(顺)(畅)(,同)(时)(名)(义)(GDP增)(速)(的)(下)(行)(或)(难)(以)(支)(撑)(资)(产)(端)(利)(率)(持)(续)(上)(涨)(。在)(政)(治)(局)(会)(议)(重)(提)(“扩)(大)(内)(需)(”之)(后)(,预)(计)(政)(策)(重)(心)(将)(从)(供)(给)(侧)(向)(需)(求)(侧)(转)(变)(。尤)(其)(是)(在)(表)(外)(融)(资)(规)(模)(收)(缩)(的)(情)(况)(下)(,通)(过)(表)(内)(“数)(量)(”扩)(张)(实)(现)(实)(体)(企)(业)(融)(资)(方)(式)(替)(代)(的)(必)(要)(性)(会)(加)(强)(。未)(来)(银)(行)(基)(本)(面)(驱)(动)(力)(也)(将)(从)(息)(差)(转)(为)(资)(产)(扩)(张)(。我)(们)(看)(好)(大)(型)(银)(行)(和)(零)(售)(银)(行)(的)(负)(债)(成)(本)(优)(势)(和)(资)(产)(扩)(张)(潜)(力)(。重)(点)(推)(荐)(工)(商)(银)(行)(、招)(商)(银)(行)(、平)(安)(银)(行)(、光)(大)(银)(行)(。
重)(心)(调)(整)(,银)(行)(从)(价)(升)(量)(减)(,转)(为)(价)(减)(量)(升)(
今)(年)(同)(业)(资)(金)(面)(在)(央)(行)(调)(控)(下)(持)(续)(宽)(松)(,减)(轻)(了)(银)(行)(同)(业)(负)(债)(的)(成)(本)(压)(力)(。但)(是)(银)(行)(存)(贷)(业)(务)(却)(面)(临)(两)(方)(面)(的)(约)(束)(。存)(款)(市)(场)(竞)(争)(激)(烈)(,推)(高)(了)(存)(款)(成)(本)(,存)(款)(活)(期)(率)(下)(降)(。银)(行)(贷)(款)(增)(长)(受)(制)(于)(窗)(口)(指)(导)(以)(及)(资)(本)(约)(束)(,致)(使)(贷)(款)(市)(场)(供)(不)(应)(求)(。因)(此)(形)(成)(宽)(货)(币)(、紧)(信)(用)(格)(局)(。但)(资)(金)(价)(格)(传)(导)(机)(制)(的)(不)(顺)(畅)(,将)(加)(快)(利)(率)(市)(场)(化)(改)(革)(进)(程)(。实)(体)(经)(济)(发)(展)(的)(资)(金)(需)(要)(以)(及)(表)(外)(业)(务)(清)(理)(整)(顿)(导)(致)(资)(金)(供)(给)(减)(少)(的)(矛)(盾)(,需)(要)(更)(多)(银)(行)(表)(内)(资)(产)(来)(解)(决)(。短)(期)(内)(银)(行)(息)(差)(扩)(大)(、规)(模)(增)(速)(放)(慢)(,“价)(”升)(“量)(”减)(。但)(长)(期)(看)(需)(求)(政)(策)(或)(提)(升)(银)(行)(资)(产)(增)(速)(,银)(行)(将)(迎)(来)(“价)(”减)(“量)(”升)(的)(新)(趋)(势)(。
息)(差)(长)(期)(承)(压)(,资)(产)(增)(速)(预)(计)(修)(复)(
价)(格)(方)(面)(的)(政)(策)(调)(整)(方)(式)(或)(为)(“降)(准)(+加)(息)(”。降)(准)(有)(利)(于)(银)(行)(释)(放)(流)(动)(性)(,增)(加)(长)(期)(资)(金)(供)(给)(。“加)(息)(”主)(要)(是)(增)(加)(存)(款)(利)(率)(上)(限)(,有)(利)(于)(银)(行)(吸)(纳)(长)(期)(稳)(定)(负)(债)(,降)(低)(对)(同)(业)(负)(债)(的)(依)(赖)(。因)(为)(稳)(定)(实)(体)(经)(济)(融)(资)(价)(格)(是)(核)(心)(目)(标)(,所)(以)(预)(计)(政)(策)(组)(合)(对)(息)(差)(影)(响)(中)(性)(偏)(负)(面)(。数)(量)(方)(面)(,未)(来)(或)(鼓)(励)(银)(行)(资)(本)(补)(充)(、通)(过)(货)(币)(政)(策)(提)(供)(长)(期)(资)(金)(定)(向)(支)(持)(实)(体)(。在)(“三)(三)(四)(十)(”检)(查)(后)(,银)(行)(业)(资)(产)(负)(债)(结)(构)(已)(经)(基)(本)(调)(整)(完)(毕)(。通)(过)(集)(中)(性)(的)(再)(融)(资)(,上)(市)(银)(行)(资)(本)(压)(力)(缓)(解)(,可)(以)(支)(撑)(资)(产)(增)(速)(修)(复)(。但)(是)(存)(款)(总)(量)(增)(长)(乏)(力)(,负)(债)(增)(速)(将)(是)(银)(行)(分)(化)(的)(主)(要)(因)(素)(。
存)(款)(重)(要)(性)(增)(加)(,大)(行)(和)(零)(售)(银)(行)(受)(益)(
在)(利)(率)(上)(升)(周)(期)(,盈)(利)(核)(心)(在)(于)(如)(何)(解)(决)(低)(成)(本)(负)(债)(来)(源)(问)(题)(。在)(同)(业)(负)(债)(比)(例)(受)(MPA调)(控)(,资)(本)(再)(融)(资)(进)(程)(较)(慢)(的)(情)(况)(下)(,存)(款)(对)(于)(资)(产)(增)(长)(的)(重)(要)(性)(不)(断)(提)(升)(。从)(2016年)(末)(以)(来)(的)(金)(融)(去)(杠)(杆)(政)(策)(使)(企)(业)(授)(信)(派)(生)(的)(存)(款)(减)(少)(,存)(款)(呈)(现)(零)(售)(化)(、定)(期)(化)(的)(特)(点)(。在)(这)(样)(的)(环)(境)(中)(,两)(类)(型)(银)(行)(脱)(颖)(而)(出)(。一)(个)(是)(大)(型)(银)(行)(,大)(型)(银)(行)(的)(零)(售)(存)(款)(和)(活)(期)(存)(款)(占)(比)(高)(,非)(标)(投)(资)(业)(务)(少)(。另)(一)(个)(是)(以)(招)(行)(为)(代)(表)(的)(零)(售)(型)(银)(行)(。另)(外)(我)(们)(特)(别)(关)(注)(拥)(有)(集)(团)(背)(景)(资)(源)(,着)(力)(推)(进)(零)(售)(、资)(管)(改)(革)(的)(平)(安)(银)(行)(和)(光)(大)(银)(行)(。
风)(险)(提)(示)(:政)(策)(速)(度)(力)(度)(超)(预)(期)(,行)(业)(转)(型)(升)(级)(不)(及)(预)(期)(。返)(回)(搜)(狐)(,查)(看)(更)(多)(
责)(任)(编)(辑)(:
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