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【兴业定量任瞳团队】行业轮动:建议关注银行、非银行金融等行业20180819

来源: 南方日报网络版     时间: 2019年08月25日 22:30:29
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(原)(标)(题)(:【兴)(业)(定)(量)(任)(瞳)(团)(队)(】行)(业)(轮)(动)(:建)(议)(关)(注)(银)(行)(、非)(银)(行)(金)(融)(等)(行)(业)(20180819
观)(点)(速)(递)(
轮)(动)(标)(的)(:中)(信)(一)(级)(行)(业)((29个)()
目)(标)(日)(期)(:2018.8.20-2018.8.24
推)(荐)(买)(入)(行)(业)(:银)(行)(、非)(银)(行)(金)(融)(、石)(油)(石)(化)(、建)(筑)(、房)(地)(产)(
风)(险)(提)(示)(:模)(型)(结)(论)(是)(基)(于)(合)(理)(假)(设)(前)(提)(下)(结)(合)(历)(史)(数)(据)(推)(导)(得)(出)(,在)(市)(场)(环)(境)(转)(变)(时)(模)(型)(存)(在)(失)(效)(的)(风)(险)(。
1
推)(荐)(理)(由)(
从)(技)(术)(层)(面)(来)(看)(,截)(至)(周)(五)(收)(盘)(29个)(行)(业)(中)(无)(行)(业)(收)(盘)(于)(20日)(均)(线)(以)(上)(,市)(场)(趋)(于)(弱)(势)(,下)(周)(我)(们)(倾)(向)(于)(前)(期)(跌)(幅)(少)(,估)(值)(安)(全)(、以)(及)(流)(动)(性)(好)(的)(行)(业)(。根)(据)(兴)(业)(轮)(动)(模)(型)(计)(算)(,下)(周)(推)(荐)(买)(入)(银)(行)(、非)(银)(行)(金)(融)(、石)(油)(石)(化)(、建)(筑)(、房)(地)(产)(等)(中)(信)(一)(级)(行)(业)(。
2
轮)(动)(策)(略)(主)(要)(思)(路)(
构)(建)(多)(因)(子)(行)(业)(轮)(动)(的)(第)(一)(步)(就)(是)(发)(掘)(对)(行)(业)(未)(来)(收)(益)(具)(有)(一)(定)(预)(测)(能)(力)(的)(因)(子)(,但)(随)(着)(有)(效)(的)(因)(子)(不)(断)(被)(发)(掘)(和)(应)(用)(,因)(子)(的)(有)(效)(性)(在)(不)(断)(减)(弱)(,而)(与)(此)(同)(时)(因)(子)(收)(益)(的)(波)(动)(性)(也)(在)(不)(断)(增)(加)(。从)(投)(资)(者)(偏)(好)(角)(度)(考)(虑)(,不)(同)(的)(市)(场)(环)(境)(下)(,投)(资)(者)(的)(策)(略)(也)(会)(相)(应)(的)(不)(断)(调)(整)(,比)(如)(在)(市)(场)(环)(境)(较)(好)(时)(,投)(资)(者)(投)(资)(偏)(好)(会)(上)(升)(,倾)(向)(于)(选)(择)(一)(些)(小)(市)(值)(的)(股)(票)(,期)(望)(其)(能)(有)(非)(凡)(脱)(俗)(的)(表)(现)(,而)(在)(市)(场)(环)(境)(趋)(向)(谨)(慎)(时)(候)(,投)(资)(者)(风)(险)(偏)(好)(也)(会)(相)(应)(降)(低)(,而)(偏)(向)(于)(一)(些)(更)(加)(“稳)(健)(”的)(行)(业)(或)(公)(司)(,可)(见)(对)(因)(子)(的)(表)(现)(按)(照)(不)(同)(的)(市)(场)(环)(境)(进)(行)(区)(分)(变)(得)(非)(常)(有)(必)(要)(。
根)(据)(当)(前)(市)(场)(状)(态)(对)(因)(子)(进)(行)(择)(时)(,每)(周)(末)(选)(取)(中)(信)(一)(级)(行)(业)(中)(前)(五)(名)(的)(行)(业)(买)(入)(,而)(后)(五)(名)(行)(业)(进)(行)(卖)(出)(,其)(中)(的)(比)(较)(基)(准)(是)(多)(因)(子)(等)(权)(组)(合)(,即)(不)(对)(因)(子)(进)(行)(择)(时)(,只)(将)(因)(子)(标)(准)(化)(后)(等)(权)(相)(加)(作)(为)(新)(因)(子)(进)(行)(行)(业)(轮)(动)(。
3
轮)(动)(策)(略)(表)(现)(
选)(择)(调)(仓)(频)(率)(为)(周)(频)(,在)(每)(周)(末)(买)(入)(5个)(行)(业)(建)(立)(纯)(多)(头)(组)(合)(,并)(同)(时)(卖)(出)(5个)(行)(业)(建)(立)(多)(空)(组)(合)(。兴)(业)(行)(业)(轮)(动)(策)(略)(表)(现)(如)(下)(表)(所)(示)(:
证)(券)(研)(究)(报)(告)(:《建)(议)(关)(注)(银)(行)(、非)(银)(行)(金)(融)(等)(行)(业)(——兴)(业)(证)(券)(定)(量)(选)(行)(业)(20180819》
对)(外)(发)(布)(时)(间)(:2018年)(8月)(19日)(
报)(告)(发)(布)(机)(构)(:兴)(业)(证)(券)(股)(份)(有)(限)(公)(司)((已)(获)(中)(国)(证)(监)(会)(许)(可)(的)(证)(券)(投)(资)(咨)(询)(业)(务)(资)(格)()
于)(明)(明)(
任)(瞳)(
自)(媒)(体)(信)(息)(披)(露)(与)(重)(要)(声)(明)(返)(回)(搜)(狐)(,查)(看)(更)(多)(
责)(任)(编)(辑)(:
)


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