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需求上升难掩诸多挑战,现货黄金面临四大主要风险

来源: 南方日报网络版     时间: 2019年08月25日 21:29:40
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(原)(标)(题)(:需)(求)(上)(升)(难)(掩)(诸)(多)(挑)(战)(,现)(货)(黄)(金)(面)(临)(四)(大)(主)(要)(风)(险)(
贵)(金)(属)(在)(线)(交)(易)(公)(司)(ABCBullion的)(首)(席)(经)(济)(学)(家)(埃)(利)(塞)(奥)((JordanEliseo)表)(示)(,随)(着)(科)(技)(继)(续)(重)(塑)(我)(们)(所)(知)(的)(世)(界)(,其)(对)(传)(统)(实)(物)(黄)(金)(市)(场)(的)(影)(响)(难)(以)(量)(化)(。他)(同)(时)(还)(列)(出)(了)(近)(期)(对)(黄)(金)(构)(成)(威)(胁)(的)(四)(大)(风)(险)(。
分)(析)(师)(称)(,黄)(金)(需)(求)(上)(升)(,但)(依)(然)(面)(临)(风)(险)(
他)(表)(示)(:“在)(我)(看)(来)(,除)(了)(熊)(市)(对)(黄)(金)(销)(售)(构)(成)(的)(明)(显)(挑)(战)(外)(,我)(认)(为)(黄)(金)(行)(业)(未)(来)(10年)(的)(增)(长)(将)(面)(临)(四)(大)(威)(胁)(。”
随)(着)(实)(物)(黄)(金)(市)(场)(上)(笼)(罩)(着)(一)(些)(主)(要)(风)(险)(,这)(位)(首)(席)(经)(济)(学)(家)(接)(着)(列)(举)(了)(加)(密)(货)(币)(、类)(似)(黄)(金)(的)(其)(他)(产)(品)(竞)(争)(、成)(本)(以)(及)(资)(本)(控)(制)(方)(面)(的)(风)(险)(。
埃)(利)(塞)(奥)(表)(示)(,他)(的)(分)(析)(受)(到)(里)(萨)(兹)(财)(富)(管)(理)(公)(司)((RitholtzWealthManagement)投)(资)(组)(合)(经)(理)(本)(·卡)(尔)(森)((BenCarlson)提)(出)(的)(一)(个)(问)(题)(的)(启)(发)(。本)(月)(早)(些)(时)(候)(,卡)(尔)(森)(问)(道)(:“年)(长)(一)(代)(的)(人)(对)(黄)(金)(的)(信)(心)(是)(否)(可)(能)(会)(消)(失)(?难)(道)(科)(技)(不)(会)(对)(黄)(金)(作)(为)(未)(来)(价)(值)(储)(存)(手)(段)(的)(地)(位)(构)(成)(巨)(大)(风)(险)(吗)(?”
他)(承)(认)(自)(己)(不)(知)(道)(答)(案)(,但)(表)(示)(可)(以)(排)(除)(未)(来)(几)(十)(年)(黄)(金)(对)(社)(会)(的)(价)(值)(遭)(受)(质)(疑)(的)(可)(能)(性)(。
在)(确)(定)(这)(四)(种)(风)(险)(之)(前)(,埃)(利)(塞)(奥)(强)(调)(了)(黄)(金)(市)(场)(的)(强)(势)(,强)(调)(黄)(金)(需)(求)(出)(现)(上)(升)(。他)(在)(分)(析)(报)(告)(中)(写)(道)(:“过)(去)(10年)(半)(,我)(一)(直)(投)(资)(于)(贵)(金)(属)(。我)(们)(看)(到)(黄)(金)(市)(场)(出)(现)(上)(涨)(,主)(要)(由)(东)(部)(市)(场)(消)(费)(者)(的)(旺)(盛)(需)(求)(推)(动)(。他)(们)(通)(常)(更)(喜)(欢)(以)(首)(饰)(的)(形)(式)(持)(有)(黄)(金)(,实)(际)(收)(入)(上)(升)(和)(黄)(金)(需)(求)(上)(升)(之)(间)(具)(有)(高)(度)(相)(关)(性)(。”
埃)(利)(塞)(奥)(还)(提)(到)(了)(央)(行)(黄)(金)(需)(求)(的)(增)(长)(,以)(及)(西)(方)(需)(求)(的)(改)(善)(。不)(过)(,ABCBullion指)(出)(,尽)(管)(市)(场)(存)(在)(积)(极)(的)(一)(面)(,但)(新)(技)(术)(和)(众)(多)(声)(称)(拥)(有)(“避)(险)(”地)(位)(的)(产)(品)(正)(试)(图)(将)(黄)(金)(推)(到)(一)(边)(。
实)(物)(黄)(金)(市)(场)(面)(临)(四)(大)(风)(险)(
实)(物)(黄)(金)(市)(场)(面)(临)(的)(最)(新)(风)(险)(之)(一)(是)(加)(密)(货)(币)(。
埃)(利)(塞)(奥)(在)(报)(道)(中)(写)(道)(:“以)(‘数)(字)(黄)(金)(’的)(名)(义)(进)(行)(营)(销)(,并)(提)(供)(改)(变)(人)(生)(的)(回)(报)(,加)(密)(货)(币)(市)(场)(出)(现)(了)(爆)(炸)(式)(增)(长)(,尤)(其)(发)(生)(在)(想)(快)(速)(赚)(钱)(的)(千)(禧)(一)(代)(投)(机)(者)(中)(间)(。”
尽)(管)(加)(密)(货)(币)(的)(拥)(护)(者)(可)(能)(转)(而)(拥)(抱)(数)(字)(黄)(金)(产)(品)(,但)(他)(们)(仍)(不)(太)(可)(能)(在)(实)(物)(黄)(金)(方)(面)(进)(行)(大)(量)(投)(资)(。埃)(利)(塞)(奥)(指)(出)(,千)(禧)(一)(代)(会)(放)(弃)(加)(密)(货)(币)(的)(唯)(一)(原)(因)(是)(,如)(果)(价)(格)(暴)(跌)(,情)(况)(会)(比)(目)(前)(严)(重)(得)(多)(。如)(果)(这)(种)(情)(况)(发)(生)(,他)(们)(可)(能)(会)(转)(向)(黄)(金)(和)(白)(银)(。即)(使)(他)(们)(转)(而)(投)(资)(黄)(金)(,他)(们)(也)(更)(有)(可)(能)(通)(过)(价)(差)(合)(约)(或)(期)(货)(合)(约)(的)(方)(式)(购)(买)(。
埃)(利)(塞)(奥)(补)(充)(称)(,第)(二)(个)(风)(险)(来)(自)(类)(似)(黄)(金)(的)(产)(品)(的)(竞)(争)(,这)(是)(现)(货)(黄)(金)(面)(临)(的)(最)(大)(风)(险)(之)(一)(。
他)(写)(道)(,交)(易)(所)(交)(易)(基)(金)((ETF)的)(出)(现)(最)(能)(体)(现)(这)(种)(威)(胁)(,其)(允)(许)(投)(资)(者)(通)(过)(其)(股)(票)(经)(纪)(人)(进)(行)(投)(资)(,获)(得)(代)(理)(实)(物)(黄)(金)(敞)(口)(。事)(实)(上)(,在)(很)(多)(情)(况)(下)(,这)(些)(产)(品)(比)(交)(易)(和)(储)(存)(实)(物)(黄)(金)(更)(昂)(贵)(,交)(易)(灵)(活)(性)(更)(差)(,也)(不)(如)(持)(有)(实)(物)(黄)(金)(安)(全)(,对)(那)(些)(拥)(有)(长)(期)(投)(资)(期)(限)(的)(大)(型)(投)(资)(者)(来)(说)(尤)(为)(如)(此)(。
ABCBullion指)(出)(,归)(根)(到)(底)(,ETF和)(其)(他)(数)(字)(黄)(金)(产)(品)(的)(吸)(引)(力)(在)(于)(年)(轻)(一)(代)(的)(坚)(持)(。他)(们)(坚)(持)(通)(过)(应)(用)(程)(序)(购)(买)(投)(资)(产)(品)(,而)(且)(在)(一)(眨)(眼)(的)(功)(夫)(就)(能)(完)(成)(交)(易)(。
第)(三)(个)(风)(险)(是)(购)(买)(实)(物)(黄)(金)(的)(成)(本)(仍)(然)(很)(高)(,包)(括)(生)(产)(、运)(输)(和)(储)(存)(环)(节)(的)(成)(本)(。
埃)(利)(塞)(奥)(表)(示)(:“鉴)(于)(黄)(金)(是)(一)(种)(需)(要)(被)(发)(现)(、运)(输)(、提)(炼)(成)(可)(销)(售)(形)(式)(,并)(最)(终)(与)(投)(资)(者)(进)(行)(交)(易)(的)(实)(物)(产)(品)(,它)(一)(直)(未)(能)(从)(金)(融)(资)(产)(交)(易)(带)(来)(的)(效)(率)(和)(成)(本)(大)(幅)(下)(降)(中)(获)(益)(。”
最)(后)(,第)(四)(种)(风)(险)(是)(资)(本)(控)(制)(的)(形)(式)(,即)(加)(强)(对)(资)(本)(投)(资)(方)(式)(的)(监)(管)(。
埃)(利)(塞)(奥)(引)(用)(了)(欧)(洲)(的)(UCITS法)(规)(,以)(及)(澳)(大)(利)(亚)(的)(养)(老)(产)(业)(,作)(为)(一)(些)(阻)(碍)(实)(际)(需)(求)(的)(例)(子)(。返)(回)(搜)(狐)(,查)(看)(更)(多)(
责)(任)(编)(辑)(:
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