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“超级全球化”的终结丨第一财经·摩根大通年度金融书籍序言

来源: 南方日报网络版     时间: 2019年08月26日 01:54:09
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(因)(此)(,在)(全)(球)(化)(和)(国)(家)(之)(间)(,Rodrik选)(择)(了)(后)(者)(。若)(时)(光)(倒)(流)(回)(到)(1944年)(布)(雷)(顿)(森)(林)(体)(系)(建)(立)(之)(初)(,他)(会)(站)(在)(凯)(恩)(斯)(和)(怀)(特)(之)(间)(开)(出)(作)(为)(经)(济)(学)(家)(的)(药)(方)(:1、市)(场)(植)(根)(于)(治)(理)(系)(统)(;2、民)(主)(治)(理)(和)(政)(治)(社)(区)(在)(一)(国)(的)(国)(界)(之)(内)(运)(转)(,在)(可)(预)(见)(的)(未)(来)(也)(将)(如)(此)(;3、通)(向)(繁)(荣)(的)(道)(路)(不)(只)(一)(条)(;4、一)(国)(有)(权)(利)(保)(护)(自)(身)(的)(监)(管)(法)(规)(和)(制)(度)(安)(排)(,但)(无)(权)(将)(其)(制)(度)(安)(排)(加)(诸)(他)(国)(;5、国)(际)(经)(济)(安)(排)(设)(定)(如)(同)(交)(通)(规)(则)(,应)(适)(用)(于)(国)(家)(制)(度)(交)(界)(之)(处)(。
因)(此)(,国)(家)(公)(民)(,全)(球)(意)(识)((NationalCitizens,GlobalConsciousness)可)(能)(才)(是)(当)(下)(我)(们)(的)(真)(实)(写)(照)(。
AI、“公)(共)(VC”和)(UBI
若)(以)(上)(的)(观)(点)(还)(没)(有)(“惊)(”到)(你)(的)(话)(,DaniRodrik还)(准)(备)(了)(另)(一)(个)(数)(字)(化)(时)(代)(人)(类)(治)(理)(的)(解)(决)(方)(案)(,以)(应)(对)(AI/机)(器)(替)(代)(人)(类)(、技)(术)(进)(步)(导)(致)(收)(入)(分)(配)(差)(距)(持)(续)(扩)(大)(。
具)(体)(而)(言)(,其)(方)(案)(即)(是)(让)(政)(府)(成)(为)(“公)(共)(VC”,持)(有)(未)(来)(机)(器)(和)(技)(术)(进)(步)(的)(股)(权)(,政)(府)(由)(此)(获)(得)(的)(利)(润)(作)(为)(“社)(会)(创)(新)(分)(红)(”分)(配)(给)(普)(通)(公)(民)(,以)(弥)(补)(后)(者)(薪)(金)(的)(不)(足)(,并)(降)(低)(后)(者)(的)(劳)(动)(时)(间)(,并)(最)(终)(接)(近)(马)(克)(思)(所)(设)(想)(的)(人)(类)(理)(想)(生)(活)(。
Rodrik的)(大)(胆)(畅)(想)(和)(这)(几)(年)(颇)(有)(热)(度)(的)(UBI(UniversalBasicIncome)不)(谋)(而)(合)(。在)(这)(个)(题)(材)(上)(,我)(们)(还)(挑)(选)(了)(AnnieLowrey的)(新)(书)(《给)(人)(民)(发)(钱)(:全)(民)(基)(本)(收)(入)(将)(如)(何)(终)(结)(贫)(困)(、革)(新)(工)(作)(、重)(塑)(世)(界)(》(GivePeopleMoney:HowaUniversalBasicIncomeWouldEndPoverty,RevolutionizeWork,andRemaketheWorld)。
无)(论)(是)(否)(赞)(同)(UBI的)(具)(体)(做)(法)(,面)(对)(AI对)(人)(类)(的)(替)(代)(,你)(必)(须)(有)(所)(准)(备)(。今)(年)(我)(们)(的)(书)(单)(里)(有)(两)(本)(关)(于)(AI的)(书)(籍)(,李)(开)(复)(的)(畅)(销)(书)(《AI·未)(来)(》,以)(及)(2011年)(图)(灵)(奖)(得)(主)(、贝)(叶)(斯)(网)(络)(之)(父)(JudeaPearl的)(新)(著)(TheBookofWhy。如)(果)(你)(对)(机)(器)(学)(习)(所)(代)(表)(的)(“弱)(人)(工)(智)(能)((ANI)”的)(“相)(关)(关)(系)(”充)(满)(疑)(虑)(的)(话)(,Pearl带)(来)(的)(则)(是)(类)(似)(人)(类)(思)(考)(模)(式)(的)(“通)(用)(人)(工)(智)(能)((AGI)”的)(因)(果)(关)(系)(。
中)(国)(模)(式)(
放)(眼)(全)(球)(和)(世)(界)(,瞻)(望)(科)(技)(和)(大)(趋)(势)(后)(,让)(我)(们)(回)(到)(中)(国)(。
中)(国)(进)(入)(“新)(时)(代)(”,恰)(逢)(“超)(级)(全)(球)(化)(”的)(终)(结)(,中)(美)(贸)(易)(摩)(擦)(是)(其)(中)(最)(核)(心)(的)(案)(例)(。无)(疑)(,管)(理)(好)(中)(美)(之)(间)(的)(贸)(易)(摩)(擦)(对)(中)(国)(和)(世)(界)(都)(至)(关)(重)(要)(。此)(中)(日)(本)(的)(经)(验)(教)(训)(值)(得)(深)(入)(探)(究)(。
船)(桥)(洋)(一)((YoichFunabashi)在)(《管)(理)(美)(元)(:广)(场)(协)(议)(和)(人)(民)(币)(的)(天)(命)(》一)(书)(的)(序)(言)(中)(回)(忆)(广)(场)(协)(议)(的)(始)(末)(——“我)(当)(时)(感)(到)(迷)(惑)(的)(是)(,为)(什)(么)(美)(国)(在)(美)(日)(两)(国)(是)(同)(盟)(的)(情)(况)(下)(还)(对)(日)(本)(有)(着)(如)(此)(大)(的)(敌)(意)(。我)(现)(在)(明)(白)(了)(,那)(是)(追)(赶)(者)(和)(被)(追)(赶)(者)(间)(零)(和)(心)(态)(的)(悸)(动)(。这)(是)(一)(种)(‘修)(昔)(底)(德)(陷)(阱)(’式)(的)(权)(力)(动)(力)(学)(。”
“不)(过)(,这)(部)(戏)(背)(后)(的)(主)(要)(驱)(动)(力)(是)(各)(国)(的)(国)(内)(政)(治)(。”——真)(正)(发)(人)(深)(省)(的)(恐)(怕)(是)(船)(桥)(洋)(一)(的)(这)(句)(话)(。
今)(年)(是)(中)(国)(改)(革)(开)(放)(40周)(年)(。40年)(的)(改)(革)(开)(放)(为)(中)(国)(创)(造)(了)(全)(球)(经)(济)(增)(长)(的)(奇)(迹)(,同)(时)(,也)(在)(全)(球)(化)(面)(临)(转)(折)(的)(时)(点)(将)(“中)(国)(模)(式)(”的)(挑)(战)(暴)(露)(无)(疑)(——如)(何)(善)(用)(国)(家)(力)(量)(推)(动)(产)(业)(进)(步)(和)(技)(术)(创)(新)(?如)(何)(处)(理)(政)(府)(和)(市)(场)(的)(关)(系)(?如)(何)(实)(质)(性)(改)(革)(国)(企)(,呼)(应)(国)(际)(社)(会)(对)(于)(补)(贴)(的)(关)(切)(?如)(何)(从)(体)(制)(深)(层)(次)(思)(考)(民)(营)(经)(济)(的)(地)(位)(和)(作)(用)(?如)(何)(建)(立)(现)(代)(财)(税)(框)(架)(、推)(进)(国)(企)(股)(权)(充)(实)(社)(保)(等)(重)(大)(改)(革)(?
站)(在)(40年)(改)(革)(开)(放)(的)(时)(点)(回)(首)(瞻)(望)(“改)(革)(的)(改)(革)(”,今)(年)(的)(好)(书)(琳)(琅)(满)(目)(。一)(如)(往)(年)(,祝)(掩)(卷)(深)(思)(的)(你)(阅)(读)(愉)(快)(!
↓↓↓点)(击)(阅)(读)(原)(文)(查)(看)(【2018年)(度)(金)(融)(书)(籍)(】返)(回)(搜)(狐)(,查)(看)(更)(多)(
责)(任)(编)(辑)(:
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