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降息跟老百姓有啥关系:股市或更旺

来源: 南方日报网络版     时间: 2019年12月16日 20:26:46
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(  股)(市)(人)(气)(或)(更)(旺)(
  今)(年)(7月)(份)(以)(来)(,A股)(市)(场)(一)(改)(近)(几)(年)(来)(的)(颓)(势)(,明)(显)(转)(强)(。然)(而)(,当)(近)(期)(上)(证)(综)(指)(面)(临)(2500点)(整)(数)(关)(口)(时)(,对)(于)(未)(来)(方)(向)(如)(何)(选)(择)(,投)(资)(者)(也)(开)(始)(出)(现)(分)(歧)(。在)(这)(个)(时)(候)(,央)(行)(宣)(布)(下)(调)(基)(准)(利)(率)(,无)(疑)(会)(使)(看)(多)(市)(场)(者)(底)(气)(更)(足)(。
  英)(大)(证)(券)(研)(究)(所)(所)(长)(李)(大)(霄)(认)(为)(,近)(期)(市)(场)(上)(的)(无)(风)(险)(利)(率)(出)(现)(下)(行)(,已)(经)(使)(股)(票)(类)(资)(产)(的)(吸)(引)(力)(有)(所)(提)(高)(,股)(市)(正)(逐)(步)(趋)(于)(活)(跃)(。而)(此)(次)(央)(行)(下)(调)(金)(融)(机)(构)(贷)(款)(和)(存)(款)(基)(准)(利)(率)(,可)(能)(会)(使)(市)(场)(利)(率)(进)(一)(步)(“跳)(低)(”,从)(而)(更)(进)(一)(步)(激)(活)(股)(市)(人)(气)(。
  他)(认)(为)(,降)(息)(对)(于)(股)(市)(的)(正)(面)(作)(用)(体)(现)(在)(多)(方)(面)(。从)(大)(的)(角)(度)(看)(,降)(息)(为)(股)(市)(企)(稳)(走)(强)(打)(下)(更)(为)(扎)(实)(的)(经)(济)(基)(本)(面)(基)(础)(。从)(行)(业)(角)(度)(看)(,降)(息)(对)(利)(率)(敏)(感)(型)(和)(高)(负)(债)(率)(行)(业)(的)(企)(业)(影)(响)(会)(比)(较)(大)(,比)(如)(周)(期)(性)(的)(大)(盘)(蓝)(筹)(股)(、地)(产)(股)(等)(,而)(这)(些)(股)(票)(在)(指)(数)(中)(的)(权)(重)(较)(高)(,对)(于)(市)(场)(走)(向)(的)(影)(响)(也)(更)(大)(。此)(外)(,11月)(24日)(这)(一)(周)(,A股)(市)(场)(将)(有)(一)(轮)(密)(集)(的)(新)(股)(发)(行)(,仅)(11月)(24日)(就)(有)(7家)(公)(司)(发)(行)(新)(股)(,预)(计)(将)(冻)(结)(大)(量)(资)(金)(,有)(投)(资)(者)(对)(于)(下)(周)(股)(市)(的)(资)(金)(面)(较)(为)(担)(忧)(。李)(大)(霄)(表)(示)(,降)(息)(也)(会)(使)(股)(市)(的)(资)(金)(面)(更)(为)(宽)(松)(。
  不)(过)(,虽)(然)(降)(息)(对)(于)(股)(市)(有)(正)(面)(影)(响)(,但)(就)(市)(场)(短)(期)(走)(势)(而)(言)(,并)(没)(有)(表)(现)(出)(太)(强)(的)(规)(律)(性)(。从)(近)(年)(来)(的)(历)(次)(降)(息)(看)(,消)(息)(公)(布)(后)(市)(场)(有)(涨)(有)(跌)(。
  楼)(市)(将)(迎)(来)(双)(重)(利)(好)(
  中)(原)(地)(产)(首)(席)(分)(析)(师)(张)(大)(伟)(分)(析)(认)(为)(,降)(息)(将)(使)(楼)(市)(迎)(来)(实)(际)(和)(心)(理)(这)(双)(重)(利)(好)(。
  —购)(房)(者)(贷)(款)(成)(本)(降)(低)(。以)(限)(期)(20年)(还)(清)(的)(100万)(元)(房)(贷)(计)(算)(,如)(果)(按)(照)(基)(准)(利)(率)(计)(算)(,降)(息)(后)(购)(房)(者)(每)(月)(可)(减)(少)(月)(供)(234元)(,20年)(可)(减)(少)(4万)(元)(的)(利)(息)(支)(出)(。对)(于)(购)(房)(者)(来)(说)(,这)(种)(直)(接)(的)(信)(贷)(刺)(激)(影)(响)(非)(常)(大)(。
  —房)(地)(产)(市)(场)(预)(期)(也)(将)(调)(整)(。本)(次)(降)(息)(与)(之)(前)(的)(取)(消)(限)(购)(、限)(贷)(政)(策)(将)(形)(成)(叠)(加)(效)(应)(,刺)(激)(购)(房)(者)(入)(市)(。虽)(然)(10月)(公)(布)(的)(70个)(大)(中)(城)(市)(房)(价)(数)(据)(显)(示)(,房)(价)(依)(然)(在)(调)(整)(,但)(一)(线)(城)(市)(二)(手)(房)(价)(格)(已)(经)(止)(跌)(,特)(别)(是)(标)(杆)(城)(市)(北)(京)(的)(二)(手)(房)(价)(格)(已)(经)(环)(比)(上)(涨)(,这)(说)(明)(前)(期)(楼)(市)(松)(绑)(政)(策)(已)(经)(发)(挥)(刺)(激)(改)(善)(型)(需)(求)(入)(市)(的)(作)(用)(。“这)(种)(情)(况)(下)(,降)(息)(将)(放)(大)(市)(场)(利)(好)(,导)(致)(购)(房)(者)(对)(市)(场)(的)(预)(期)(明)(显)(向)(好)(。”张)(大)(伟)(说)(,近)(期)(的)(一)(系)(列)(信)(贷)(政)(策)(很)(可)(能)(使)(楼)(市)(预)(期)(发)(生)(转)(折)(性)(变)(化)(,随)(着)(购)(房)(者)(入)(市)(积)(极)(性)(提)(高)(,楼)(市)(特)(别)(是)(一)(二)(线)(楼)(市)(,量)(价)(回)(升)(的)(可)(能)(性)(非)(常)(大)(。“库)(存)(绝)(对)(值)(过)(高)(的)(三)(四)(线)(楼)(市)(,即)(使)(信)(贷)(刺)(激)(,出)(现)(全)(面)(回)(暖)(的)(可)(能)(性)(也)(不)(大)(。”
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