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国际买家欲“捡便宜”

来源: 南方日报网络版     时间: 2019年08月25日 21:34:01
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(  尽)(管)(俄)(罗)(斯)(仍)(有)(可)(能)(承)(受)(更)(多)(的)(国)(际)(制)(裁)(,一)(些)(投)(资)(者)(和)(市)(场)(分)(析)(师)(却)(认)(为)(:这)(个)(国)(家)(可)(以)(找)(到)(投)(资)(价)(值)(—不)(过)(,仅)(仅)(对)(于)(那)(些)(准)(备)(好)(应)(对)(波)(动)(的)(人)(而)(言)(。  美)(国)(财)(政)(部)(长)(杰)(克)(·卢)(表)(示)(,对)(俄)(罗)(斯)(的)(制)(裁)(可)(能)(很)(快)(再)(加)(深)(。主)(要)(原)(因)(在)(于)(,俄)(罗)(斯)(和)(乌)(克)(兰)(之)(间)(的)(停)(火)(协)(议)(—明)(斯)(克)(协)(定)(—看)(起)(来)(摇)(摇)(欲)(坠)(。过)(去)(几)(周)(内)(,乌)(克)(兰)(军)(方)(和)(东)(部)(武)(装)(之)(间)(的)(暴)(力)(行)(为)(有)(所)(升)(温)(。  假)(如)(对)(俄)(制)(裁)(进)(一)(步)(加)(深)(,俄)(罗)(斯)(经)(济)(可)(能)(会)(重)(蹈)(2014年)(过)(山)(车)(式)(的)(覆)(辙)(。当)(时)(,俄)(罗)(斯)(的)(货)(币)(和)(股)(票)(由)(于)(油)(价)(下)(跌)(深)(受)(打)(击)(,资)(本)(外)(流)(和)(通)(胀)(严)(重)(。尽)(管)(存)(在)(不)(确)(定)(性)(,一)(些)(市)(场)(参)(与)(者)(却)(认)(为)(,俄)(罗)(斯)(是)(个)(可)(以)(“捡)(便)(宜)(”的)(市)(场)(。  俄)(零)(售)(、地)(产)(机)(会)(显)(著)(?  “那)(里)(存)(在)(非)(常)(显)(著)(的)(机)(会)(。俄)(罗)(斯)(的)(一)(个)(特)(点)(在)(于)(,从)(表)(现)(最)(差)(的)(股)(市)(变)(成)(表)(现)(最)(佳)(股)(市)(,往)(往)(只)(需)(要)(很)(短)(的)(一)(段)(时)(间)(。”自)(由)(资)(产)(管)(理)(公)(司)(的)(首)(席)(信)(息)(官)(西)(蒙)(·弗)(莱)(彻)(表)(示)(,其)(公)(司)(专)(门)(投)(资)(于)(类)(似)(俄)(罗)(斯)(的)(新)(兴)(市)(场)(。“某)(些)(领)(域)(,例)(如)(零)(售)(业)(和)(房)(地)(产)(,发)(展)(非)(常)(繁)(荣)(。”弗)(莱)(彻)(认)(为)(。  不)(过)(,他)(也)(认)(为)(,在)(兑)(美)(元)(汇)(率)(短)(暂)(回)(升)(后)(,卢)(布)(可)(能)(会)(出)(现)(进)(一)(步)(的)(贬)(值)(。目)(前)(,1美)(元)(可)(兑)(换)(55卢)(布)(,远)(远)(高)(于)(2015年)(1月)(1美)(元)(兑)(70卢)(布)(的)(最)(低)(点)(。“许)(多)(准)(国)(有)(企)(业)(大)(量)(将)(美)(元)(换)(成)(卢)(布)(支)(撑)(了)(卢)(布)(的)(汇)(率)(,但)(是)(我)(觉)(得)(现)(在)(这)(会)(放)(缓)(。”弗)(莱)(彻)(补)(充)(说)(,“之)(前)(,人)(们)(在)(报)(摊)(前)(排)(队)(兑)(换)(货)(币)(,街)(头)(弥)(漫)(着)(恐)(惧)(的)(气)(氛)(。不)(过)(,现)(在)(这)(一)(气)(氛)(有)(所)(消)(退)(,总)(体)(上)(俄)(罗)(斯)(感)(觉)(好)(多)(了)(。”  俄)(罗)(斯)(民)(众)(乐)(观)(面)(对)(制)(裁)(的)(心)(态)(,很)(大)(程)(度)(上)(源)(于)(俄)(政)(府)(的)(努)(力)(。俄)(政)(府)(一)(直)(在)(试)(图)(将)(危)(机)(转)(化)(为)(机)(会)(—利)(用)(危)(机)(来)(宣)(传)(爱)(国)(主)(义)(的)(价)(值)(观)(、商)(品)(和)(服)(务)(。当)(前)(,俄)(罗)(斯)(经)(济)(发)(展)(部)(预)(计)(,2015年)(俄)(罗)(斯)(的)(GDP将)(会)(衰)(退)(2.8个)(百)(分)(点)(,经)(济)(萎)(缩)(的)(幅)(度)(相)(比)(于)(此)(前)(的)(预)(测)(稍)(低)(一)(些)(。世)(界)(银)(行)(也)(在)(这)(个)(月)(月)(初)(提)(高)(了)(对)(俄)(罗)(斯)(的)(增)(长)(预)(测)(。  制)(裁)(仍)(是)(最)(大)(风)(险)(  外)(汇)(交)(易)(公)(司)(OANDA的)(高)(级)(市)(场)(分)(析)(师)(克)(雷)(格)(·耶)(尔)(兰)(姆)(表)(示)(:“随)(着)(俄)(罗)(斯)(经)(济)(趋)(稳)(,要)(想)(找)(到)(反)(对)(投)(资)(俄)(罗)(斯)(的)(理)(由)(真)(是)(越)(来)(越)(困)(难)(了)(。”在)(耶)(尔)(兰)(姆)(看)(来)(,通)(货)(膨)(胀)(可)(能)(已)(经)(达)(到)(峰)(值)(,并)(正)(在)(下)(降)(。石)(油)(价)(格)(已)(经)(见)(底)(,有)(强)(劲)(反)(弹)(。而)(乌)(克)(兰)(局)(势)(也)(已)(经)(缓)(和)(,尽)(管)(时)(不)(时)(还)(是)(有)(冲)(突)(发)(生)(。“这)(并)(不)(意)(味)(着)(投)(资)(俄)(罗)(斯)(有)(着)(巨)(大)(的)(风)(险)(,形)(势)(也)(很)(难)(再)(变)(得)(更)(糟)(。”  不)(过)(他)(也)(承)(认)(,需)(要)(警)(惕)(的)(风)(险)(仍)(在)(。制)(裁)(很)(可)(能)(持)(续)(下)(去)(,这)(意)(味)(着)(俄)(罗)(斯)(的)(经)(济)(将)(会)(继)(续)(承)(受)(痛)(苦)(。“由)(于)(制)(裁)(继)(续)(存)(在)(,甚)(至)(有)(可)(能)(加)(深)(,我)(认)(为)(俄)(罗)(斯)(仍)(然)(有)(很)(多)(风)(险)(。”耶)(尔)(兰)(姆)(补)(充)(说)(,“在)(西)(方)(对)(俄)(罗)(斯)(的)(表)(态)(从)(增)(加)(制)(裁)(变)(成)(可)(能)(放)(松)(之)(前)(,我)(没)(有)(看)(到)(明)(显)(的)(上)(行)(潜)(力)(。”  卢)(周)(二)(对)(乌)(克)(兰)(领)(导)(人)(表)(示)(,美)(国)(和)(其)(G7集)(团)(的)(盟)(友)(准)(备)(对)(莫)(斯)(科)(实)(施)(更)(多)(的)(制)(裁)(。其)(实)(,俄)(罗)(斯)(自)(己)(也)(承)(认)(,与)(乌)(克)(兰)(的)(停)(火)(协)(议)(没)(有)(完)(全)(落)(到)(实)(处)(。俄)(罗)(斯)(外)(交)(部)(周)(二)(在)(一)(份)(声)(明)(中)(说)(:“明)(斯)(克)(协)(议)(的)(执)(行)(过)(程)(仍)(然)(非)(常)(脆)(弱)(。”  作)(者)(:阎)(彦)(
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